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April 26, 2026 · Newsjack

Microsoft's Three Mile Island restart, in numbers

In September 2024, Constellation Energy and Microsoft signed a 20-year power purchase agreement to restart Three Mile Island Unit 1 — now renamed the Crane Clean Energy Center — to feed Microsoft's PJM-region data centers entirely with carbon-free electricity. The plant is targeted for online status in 2027–2028 at a restart cost of about $1.6 billion. Here's what 835 MW of restored nuclear actually translates to in the standard power-source vocabulary.

The translation

TMI Unit 1 ran at 96.3% capacity factor in its last year of operation (2019). Restarted, Constellation projects roughly 7 million MWh per year — about 0.17% of total U.S. electricity demand from a single unit. The same 7 TWh/yr from each major source, at Pennsylvania resource conditions:

Restarted nuclear (TMI Unit 1)
1
reactor (835 MW)
~7 TWh/yr · ~96% historical CF · existing site, no new land
Utility-scale solar (firm-equiv)
~120
100 MW farms
20% PA CF × 3× firm-equiv multiplier · ~113 sq mi · 1–3 yr per project
Onshore wind (firm-equiv)
~2,650
3 MW turbines
30% PA CF × 2.5× firm-equiv · ~416 sq mi · 2–4 yr per project

What the deal actually does

Microsoft is not buying a new reactor. It is paying to revive an existing one. Unit 1 closed in 2019 because it could not compete on price with subsidized renewables and cheap fracked gas in Pennsylvania's wholesale market. The reactor itself was, and remains, in good condition — and held a federal operating license. The $1.6 billion restart cost covers refurbishment of turbines, generator, transformer, and cooling/control systems, plus a license extension through 2054.

Microsoft's 20-year PPA gives Constellation the financial certainty to take that capex risk. It also matches an estimated ~7 TWh/year of Microsoft's PJM-region data center load with carbon-free generation — addressing a measurable chunk of Microsoft's reported 23.4% emissions increase in fiscal 2024, driven mostly by AI training workloads.

The precedent matters more than the megawatts

835 MW is not enormous on its own. It's about 0.85% of the existing U.S. nuclear fleet (98 GW across 96 operating reactors) and roughly one-tenth of OpenAI's Stargate target. What makes this deal unusual is that no fully decommissioned U.S. reactor has ever been brought back to commercial service. The closest precedent is Holtec's Palisades plant in Michigan (800 MW, shut May 2022), originally targeting a late-2025 restart. As of May 2026 Palisades has been pushed to early 2026, then late March, and is still working through NRC inspections — 1,400 cracked steam generator tubes (being repaired via "sleeving"), missing weld documentation, unauthorized nozzle welds, and pending litigation from Beyond Nuclear. Whichever plant powers up first will create a category that didn't exist 18 months ago.

For context: roughly 13 GW of U.S. reactor capacity has been retired since 2013 — Vermont Yankee, Indian Point, Pilgrim, San Onofre, Diablo Canyon (still operating but on borrowed time), among others. If the combination of AI-driven demand, federal 45Y tax credits, and PPA willingness from hyperscalers makes some fraction of those revivable, the restart pipeline starts looking material — possibly several gigawatts over the next decade.

What 7 TWh/year actually powers

Reference loadTMI Unit 1 covers
U.S. average household (10.5 MWh/yr)~670,000 homes
Hyperscale AI campus (1 GW continuous)~80% of one
U.S. retail electricity demand~0.17%
Stargate's full 10 GW commitment~8.5%
Existing U.S. nuclear fleet (96 reactors)~1.0%

AI-campus equivalent assumes ~95% utilization on a 1 GW load. Hyperscale campus sizes vary widely; Stargate's flagship Abilene site alone is targeted at ~1.6 GW.

Why this story is in our compare engine

The TMI restart is a clean test case for the headline thesis behind this site: nuclear's land-use and reliability advantages compound dramatically when you tally them up against firm-equivalent renewable capacity. The original TMI site is about 600 acres. Powering the same 7 TWh/yr from PA-grade utility solar, with the storage and overbuild needed to firm it up, would require roughly 113 square miles — about 120× the land of the existing reactor footprint, on completely new sites.

Use the Compare app to plug different metros and power sources together — Pennsylvania values are pre-loaded under any of our PA-anchored metros (Philadelphia and Pittsburgh adjacent), and the Compare engine will produce a downloadable PNG showing the same scaled overlay used in this post.

Sources

  • Constellation Energy press release — original Sept 20, 2024 announcement, including the 837 MW nameplate, 96.3% historical CF, and 20-year PPA terms.
  • Utility Dive — $1.6B restart cost, 7 million MWh/yr projected output, 45Y-credit eligibility, EPS guidance.
  • Data Centre Magazine (June 2025) — updated 2027 early-restart timeline, 65% staffing milestone.
  • FOX 17 — Palisades restart timeline (Dec 2025 + 2026 delays); see also NRC Palisades inspection record for ongoing pre-restart inspection reports.
  • Pennsylvania capacity-factor assumptions: NREL NSRDB regional averages and EIA PA wind/solar fleet data.
  • See full methodology for assumption details.